Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008572 0.009631 0.010792 0.012164 0.013746 0.015519 0.017663
2025-04-27 0.007083 0.008550 0.010300 0.012562 0.015430 0.018980 0.023756
2025-05-04 0.006123 0.007740 0.009780 0.012575 0.016359 0.021378 0.028668
2025-05-11 0.005481 0.007188 0.009439 0.012678 0.017304 0.023812 0.033910
2025-05-18 0.004914 0.006642 0.009005 0.012546 0.017841 0.025676 0.038559
2025-05-25 0.004531 0.006292 0.008782 0.012652 0.018692 0.028064 0.044349
2025-06-01 0.004152 0.005902 0.008449 0.012537 0.019161 0.029884 0.049481
2025-06-08 0.003753 0.005440 0.007956 0.012108 0.019054 0.030725 0.053021
2025-06-15 0.003520 0.005206 0.007780 0.012152 0.019716 0.032925 0.059377
2025-06-22 0.003404 0.005137 0.007853 0.012602 0.021110 0.036591 0.069204
2025-06-29 0.003161 0.004846 0.007540 0.012361 0.021242 0.037944 0.074607
2025-07-06 0.002937 0.004570 0.007226 0.012084 0.021266 0.039078 0.079738
2025-07-13 0.002761 0.004367 0.007034 0.012032 0.021767 0.041341 0.088133
2025-07-20 0.002673 0.004305 0.007082 0.012429 0.023206 0.045798 0.102803
2025-07-27 0.002533 0.004143 0.006935 0.012442 0.023868 0.048695 0.114383
2025-08-03 0.002419 0.004017 0.006842 0.012543 0.024723 0.052162 0.128360
2025-08-10 0.002284 0.003843 0.006644 0.012413 0.025056 0.054471 0.139784
2025-08-17 0.002191 0.003738 0.006566 0.012519 0.025925 0.058216 0.156443
2025-08-24 0.002079 0.003589 0.006393 0.012405 0.026276 0.060730 0.170121
2025-08-31 0.001940 0.003380 0.006087 0.011981 0.025842 0.061141 0.177211
2025-09-07 0.001865 0.003287 0.006002 0.012025 0.026542 0.064708 0.196019
2025-09-14 0.001837 0.003283 0.006093 0.012468 0.028293 0.071523 0.228739
2025-09-21 0.001741 0.003141 0.005893 0.012231 0.028277 0.073275 0.243297